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The attractiveness for Canadians to own homes in the United States has been declining for a number of reasons: a weakening Canadian dollar and steeper insurance, for example. The recent political turmoil has been the final straw, pushing many Canadians to sell their US properties. Florida is the epicenter of this trend.
Florida is not the only state to see home prices below their peak—but it is the only one where prices are still falling—and fast. The state has been buffeted by idiosyncratic factors, like widespread assessments following a building collapse in 2021. But not all of the reasons prices are falling in Florida are unique. Does price action there presage a wider, national downturn?

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